I wrote a speech for Rob Manfred. Think he'll use it? Also: Les Wexner, Jeff Epstein, Malcom Gladwell, and Loki, only one of which has redeeming qualities.
I thought Griffin Canning was about extraterrestrial enforcement of US law. All those fuzzy blobs in the footage the Air Force just released were Griffin Canning's lawyers coming in to argue Pro Hac Vice.
Griffin Canning was a Civil War-era congressman who, while caucusing with the Radical Republicans, was more of a moderate who worked behind the scenes to mediate between the Radicals and the Copperheads and as such never got the same attention from history writers that the Thaddeus Stevenses and Benjamin Wades did.
Tx for adding Pete Alonso’s remarks into the discussion—- his take is so spot on! So damn angry about how MLB/Manfred attempt to “spin” this discussion of sticky substance use into a problem of villainous pitchers.
MLB LOVES to drag its players. NBA promotes its players. NFL PED suspension? Treated like a vacation when the player is welcomed back (reason never mentioned). Hockey personalizes every player origin story as though going to the rink at 4 am is akin to storming the beach at Normandy.
MLB? At the 1st sign of trouble they hang their product out to dry and then clutch their pearls with "why does no one know how great Trout is"????!??
Just a note that I think that the "do something big" ethic is by far more of a liberal/progressive philosophy than right wing. Those of us who went through adolescence during Vietnam and the Love Revolution of the 60's were inundated with big thoughts about making a difference ("What if they gave a war and nobody came?"). We reached adulthood during Watergate, idolizing 2 reporters who brought down a president (not that simple, but....). We learned that the Civil Rights movement began with a woman who refused to give up her seat on a bus, and peaked under the tutelage of a simple but extraordinarily visionary preacher (again, the mythology obscured millions of others vital to the cause). My parents instilled that in me.
Making a "huge impact" to my generation was always in the context of making the world better, fighting injustice (I became a lawyer because I thought I could be another Darrow), and finding ways to open minds and reach the stars. Meanwhile, my conservative friends tried to find good paying jobs because that was what their parents instilled in them. Their sense of "great ideas" weren't philosophical: they just wanted to excel, invent something, write a great book, become an exec--all to succeed, not to improve the world.
The environmental movement is a perfect example of how the "do something great" philosophy differs by political bent. At best, conservatives want to exploit the earth even if they seek greater efficiency and grudgingly concede the value of alternate energy, but it is the left that sees the current world as horribly in danger. "Saving the world" is literally the left's battle cry.
I read that Millennial Lifestyle Subsidy article too, and came to the exact same conclusion.
The facts aren't wrong, but you're casting shade on millennials for...being savvy consumers who take advantage of services delivered well-below market rate?
So entitled. Can't believe we spent so much time using a "private driver," a service that's significantly different from the "Taxis" that Boomers, Gen X and the older 80% of millennials used.
To me, THAT would be an article worth reading, and it was touched on in the article. With Lyft, AirB&B and the like getting less competitive, how are traditional industries reacting?
I repeatedly have to crank out an inflation calculator for my Boomer parents so that they can at least have some context for why college loans are such a big issue for the young. Today's tuition for a UC school is over $13K. When my parents were of college age, tuition was free for CA residents, and they only had to pay a yearly $84 incidental fee ($729 in 2021 dollars). Of course Boomers were able to work their way through college in the 60's--the state largely paid for their education, and then they elected people that gutted funding for education.
Don't forget boomers and now older Gen x made it functionally impossible to add housing stock to big cities, limiting supply and making early investment in apartment buildings around colleges more profitable.
Shout it from the rooftops! When I hear about how much Boomers bought their first houses for, it's like, between 1x-2x a person's yearly wages. If you live in any moderately-sized US city now, you're lucky if a house is going to cost less than 5x your salary.
Honestly, fuck all those companies. I'm in full agreement with the popular post, I can't remember where, that said "'Disruption' is code for 'illegal'. Disrupting the taxi industry by throwing a bunch of illegal cabs on the road. Disrupting the hotel industry by throwing a bunch of illegal hotel rooms out there. Erupting a market for personal electric transit by dumping a bunch of scooters on the corner and driving away.
And then, if it all goes well, you'll break the back of existing industries, and get enough market share that you're legally untouchable. THEN you can raise rates.
All the companies are garbage, but I swore off Uber in particular after a number of bad experiences, bad press, and this article:
Yeah, Uber is such a shit company. A few years ago someone got access to my wife's Uber account somehow and went on a $1,000+ ride all over New York. Yet, it was near impossible to even get in contact with anyone at Uber to resolve it - we couldn't find a support number anywhere, or even an email.
If I remember correctly, the only option they offered on their website was to contact them through Facebook or some BS. So she messaged them through Facebook several times for a couple days with no response, and had to resort to actually posting a complaint directly on one Uber's Facebook account's public posts before anyone finally responded to her. And even after that, I remember it was still a pain in the ass to get them to refund the $1,000+ that was racked up from the clearly fraudulent ride.
I had a similar issue with PayPal recently, where my account got hacked and it turned into a hugely painful ordeal because I could only contact PayPal through goddamn Facebook and it was like pulling teeth to try to get them to do anything.
Here's a question: If more pitchers than ever are using sticky stuff, and using sticky stuff reduces the chance of batters being hit, are we seeing a reduced rate of HBP? Because we should be. I wish I had time today to look into it.
I'm not qualified to opine on the issue, but in a Mets broadcast this week Ron Darling said the whole "better grip prevents batters from getting hit" thing was just BS. Looking at the current HBP rates compared to 5 or 10 years ago seems like it would either prove or disprove the theory.
I would guess whatever gains from ball doctoring are more than offset by pitchers throwing north of 100, and not having to worry as much about the left/right area.
You didn't see that 5-10 years ago and, if you ask me (you can ask, just might not age the right answer), it's two sides of the same coin working together to get the product on the field we're seeing today.
Not necessarily. There is a prominent school of thought, as you probably know, that baseball recruits more "hard throwers" than "pitchers". These hard throwers are thought to have less control than real pitchers. So we have seen an influx over the last 20 years of pitchers with worse control, and the sticky stuff has served to keep an increase in wildness from being even worse.
But has the prevalence of "hard throwers" increased dramatically over the last handful of years? Because my impression is the sticky stuff is mostly a very recent epidemic (I mean Spider Tack type stuff, not rosin and sunscreen which have been around forever), while as you say the "hard throwers" thing has been going on for a longer period of time.
According to Fangraphs, in 2008 the league average fastball was about 91.5, in 2018 it was 93. I'm not suggesting that's the end of the inquiry, of course, but it does support the notion that, for example, Mets broadcasters discussed when Pillar was hit in the face.
Maybe, but walk rates are essentially unchanged from the 90's, while strikeouts have gone up a ton. Granted the eye test means little, but my perception is that pitchers have as good of command as ever. And over the years I've seen even inner-circle HOFers have one occasionally get away from them. My hypothesis is that batters' strategy is largely to blame. The 80's to early 90's had much lower HBP rates than the 2000's through now, even though walk rates were essentially the same. Around the mid to late 90's, many batters (copying Bonds) started wearing armor and setting up closer to the plate to take away the outside pitch. Pitchers bust inside to combat that strategy, and more batters get hit even if command is unchanged. Combining that with faster pitches and even less reaction time is a recipe for nasty outcomes.
I’ve lived a couple hours south of Chicago for nearly a half century, and I’ve been a fan of the Cubs for most of that time, and I can’t recall* a time when the neighborhood around the ballpark wasn’t referred to as “Wrigleyville.”
* Acknowledgement that recall itself is unreliable for someone who has lived anywhere for ~50 years.
I share many of your opinions about Gladwell. As a recovering mark for all things “The Ringer,” I shudder when I think about some of the podcast conversations I listened to between Gladwell and Simmons.
hmmmmm.... You're told that a "crackdown" on a certain behavior is coming.... And your response is to INCREASE that behavior.... Sounds ALOT like the 5th graders I've been hanging around with this year.....
Craig, settle an argument for me: didn’t Rowdy Tellez and Dane Dunning both appear in the same Western back in the late 60’s? If memory serves ( instead of just sitting there, snarking away)...
For the A's recap, please note that the Mark Canha "triple" was a long fly ball that Katel? Marte caught before hitting the wall, then he hit the wall with medium force, came away from the wall and pulled his glove toward his back (it was a weird move, but don't get to focused on that). at this pint the ball slipped out of his glove. Umpire on the field called it no catch. After review, it was no catch. Note that mark Canha had taken off his helmet around first and began to tip his cap.
I have listened to/watched most A's games this year, there have been a lot of replays that in my mind bizarrely go against the A's, so one going in their favor is a treat. This just looks like a catch to me.
It's not a catch. Ball came loose as a result of his body's movement to recover balance after hitting the wall, what you refer to as a "weird move." Rule says "It is not a catch, however, if simultaneously or immediately following his contact with the ball, he collides with a player, or with a wall, or if he falls down, and as a result of such collision or falling, drops the ball." Also, release of the ball has to be "voluntary and intentional."
I bet there is a tiny subsection of rules nerds that would think of it as a non catch. I certainly, as an A's partisan, would not have objected to it being an out.
There's no reason to "take sides" in any of this "sticky stuff" bullshit but I can't help but think, "Yeah, fuck that guy" when it comes to Gerrit Cole. Yankees fans were ready to fire everyone and trade what they could a few days ago but now they're playing the victim card because someone dared to call out their $300MM pitcher, who is obviously one of the biggest offenders when it comes to this shit. It's just annoying.
As I said, I'm not taking sides here. But I'm also not down for the "everyone is doing it so it's no big deal" stuff either. You see this with steroids. Baseball writers hate the league office and blame them for looking the other way so it's fine that a generation of players injected themselves with bovine growth hormones because Bud Selig is a dick.
Manfred sucks ass just like Selig did but it doesn't change the fact that these guys are cheating and the more I see people seemingly siding with the players the more annoyed I get. You can't go around screaming about baseball being broken only to turn a blind eye when someone points out that a big part of the problem is that about 80% of today's pitchers are doctoring the ball to the point where exploding 96 mph slides are the norm.
Michael Kay wasn't the only one who wanted to see Donaldson drilled yesterday and that's just weird. How is Gerrit Cole the victim here?
One more thought on the "Indy Didn't Matter" thing: Indy *hasn't seen the end of the movie; he doesn't know that the Nazis are going to get melted*. He has to act as if the Nazis really do have a potential superweapon in their hands.
We, in our privileged view, know that the Nazis are EVIL and that Yahweh will smite them. Indy doesn't believe in the religious aspects of The Ark; all he knows is that it's an extremely valuable historical artifact - with a couple of potentially dangerous powers for anyone who can figure out how to use them. Anyone - even a Nazi.....
I'm not sure if I'm a Millennial (b. 1981), but I sure as shit see how much Boomers rail against them, against their own children. It's kind of appalling. Policies being set by Boomers are actively hurting younger generations so of course we're going all "Dad, WTF are you doing!? I can't buy a house now!" To which "dad's" response is more or less of "tough shit, kid".
I am thinking about how i can subdivide my apartment, so my two teenagers will have a place to live independently when it's time. There is no way they can afford an apartment here
I meant to get here early. I have an ethical question and I feel the commenters here are a good judge of ethics. My sister's kid wants me to write a paper for a college history class. I told her it would be terrible because I didn't take the class and have no reference and I am not particularly well suited to the subject. But she is bugging me and I so I wrote it. As like an outline that she will have to update using examples from the class. But I feel bad giving it to her. But not that bad. It's a 2 page paper. Can I do it?
My mother in law wrote all of my SIL’s college papers and now, four years after graduation, she’s still as dependent on her. Wouldn’t say it’s a huge ethical dilemma, as college is a hotbed of this kind of thing, but I’m generally of the mind that you should let people succeed or fail on their own merits, especially in the fairly consequence-free zone of college.
If you care about the kid, my suggestion is to help her develop the skills to succeed. A 2 page paper is a perfect place for her to work on her skills! Perhaps you could take the outline you wrote (if you haven't given it to her yet), maybe strip it down a little to make it even more of just an outline, and then tell her to work on it and get it back to you for suggestions and comments.
If sowing division is a goal, Josh Donaldson is the perfect mark.
Isn’t Griffin Canning a big Supreme Court case about the Commerce Clause?
PS Tanner Rainey got the save last night, which gave the Nats a shot in the arm - incidentally, one more than Rainey’s gotten this year.
I thought Griffin Canning was about extraterrestrial enforcement of US law. All those fuzzy blobs in the footage the Air Force just released were Griffin Canning's lawyers coming in to argue Pro Hac Vice.
Griffin Canning was a Civil War-era congressman who, while caucusing with the Radical Republicans, was more of a moderate who worked behind the scenes to mediate between the Radicals and the Copperheads and as such never got the same attention from history writers that the Thaddeus Stevenses and Benjamin Wades did.
Griffin Canning was the major warehouse in Cannery Row, Monterey, CA
Tx for adding Pete Alonso’s remarks into the discussion—- his take is so spot on! So damn angry about how MLB/Manfred attempt to “spin” this discussion of sticky substance use into a problem of villainous pitchers.
MLB LOVES to drag its players. NBA promotes its players. NFL PED suspension? Treated like a vacation when the player is welcomed back (reason never mentioned). Hockey personalizes every player origin story as though going to the rink at 4 am is akin to storming the beach at Normandy.
MLB? At the 1st sign of trouble they hang their product out to dry and then clutch their pearls with "why does no one know how great Trout is"????!??
Just a note that I think that the "do something big" ethic is by far more of a liberal/progressive philosophy than right wing. Those of us who went through adolescence during Vietnam and the Love Revolution of the 60's were inundated with big thoughts about making a difference ("What if they gave a war and nobody came?"). We reached adulthood during Watergate, idolizing 2 reporters who brought down a president (not that simple, but....). We learned that the Civil Rights movement began with a woman who refused to give up her seat on a bus, and peaked under the tutelage of a simple but extraordinarily visionary preacher (again, the mythology obscured millions of others vital to the cause). My parents instilled that in me.
Making a "huge impact" to my generation was always in the context of making the world better, fighting injustice (I became a lawyer because I thought I could be another Darrow), and finding ways to open minds and reach the stars. Meanwhile, my conservative friends tried to find good paying jobs because that was what their parents instilled in them. Their sense of "great ideas" weren't philosophical: they just wanted to excel, invent something, write a great book, become an exec--all to succeed, not to improve the world.
The environmental movement is a perfect example of how the "do something great" philosophy differs by political bent. At best, conservatives want to exploit the earth even if they seek greater efficiency and grudgingly concede the value of alternate energy, but it is the left that sees the current world as horribly in danger. "Saving the world" is literally the left's battle cry.
I read that Millennial Lifestyle Subsidy article too, and came to the exact same conclusion.
The facts aren't wrong, but you're casting shade on millennials for...being savvy consumers who take advantage of services delivered well-below market rate?
So entitled. Can't believe we spent so much time using a "private driver," a service that's significantly different from the "Taxis" that Boomers, Gen X and the older 80% of millennials used.
To me, THAT would be an article worth reading, and it was touched on in the article. With Lyft, AirB&B and the like getting less competitive, how are traditional industries reacting?
I repeatedly have to crank out an inflation calculator for my Boomer parents so that they can at least have some context for why college loans are such a big issue for the young. Today's tuition for a UC school is over $13K. When my parents were of college age, tuition was free for CA residents, and they only had to pay a yearly $84 incidental fee ($729 in 2021 dollars). Of course Boomers were able to work their way through college in the 60's--the state largely paid for their education, and then they elected people that gutted funding for education.
Don't forget boomers and now older Gen x made it functionally impossible to add housing stock to big cities, limiting supply and making early investment in apartment buildings around colleges more profitable.
Shout it from the rooftops! When I hear about how much Boomers bought their first houses for, it's like, between 1x-2x a person's yearly wages. If you live in any moderately-sized US city now, you're lucky if a house is going to cost less than 5x your salary.
Honestly, fuck all those companies. I'm in full agreement with the popular post, I can't remember where, that said "'Disruption' is code for 'illegal'. Disrupting the taxi industry by throwing a bunch of illegal cabs on the road. Disrupting the hotel industry by throwing a bunch of illegal hotel rooms out there. Erupting a market for personal electric transit by dumping a bunch of scooters on the corner and driving away.
And then, if it all goes well, you'll break the back of existing industries, and get enough market share that you're legally untouchable. THEN you can raise rates.
All the companies are garbage, but I swore off Uber in particular after a number of bad experiences, bad press, and this article:
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2017/08/how-one-man-hauled-uber-into-small-claims-court-and-won-4000/
Yeah, Uber is such a shit company. A few years ago someone got access to my wife's Uber account somehow and went on a $1,000+ ride all over New York. Yet, it was near impossible to even get in contact with anyone at Uber to resolve it - we couldn't find a support number anywhere, or even an email.
If I remember correctly, the only option they offered on their website was to contact them through Facebook or some BS. So she messaged them through Facebook several times for a couple days with no response, and had to resort to actually posting a complaint directly on one Uber's Facebook account's public posts before anyone finally responded to her. And even after that, I remember it was still a pain in the ass to get them to refund the $1,000+ that was racked up from the clearly fraudulent ride.
I had a similar issue with PayPal recently, where my account got hacked and it turned into a hugely painful ordeal because I could only contact PayPal through goddamn Facebook and it was like pulling teeth to try to get them to do anything.
Here's a question: If more pitchers than ever are using sticky stuff, and using sticky stuff reduces the chance of batters being hit, are we seeing a reduced rate of HBP? Because we should be. I wish I had time today to look into it.
I'm not qualified to opine on the issue, but in a Mets broadcast this week Ron Darling said the whole "better grip prevents batters from getting hit" thing was just BS. Looking at the current HBP rates compared to 5 or 10 years ago seems like it would either prove or disprove the theory.
This suggests the HBP and WP rate has generally been increasing over the last 20 odd years. https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/pitch.shtml
I would guess whatever gains from ball doctoring are more than offset by pitchers throwing north of 100, and not having to worry as much about the left/right area.
You didn't see that 5-10 years ago and, if you ask me (you can ask, just might not age the right answer), it's two sides of the same coin working together to get the product on the field we're seeing today.
Not necessarily. There is a prominent school of thought, as you probably know, that baseball recruits more "hard throwers" than "pitchers". These hard throwers are thought to have less control than real pitchers. So we have seen an influx over the last 20 years of pitchers with worse control, and the sticky stuff has served to keep an increase in wildness from being even worse.
But has the prevalence of "hard throwers" increased dramatically over the last handful of years? Because my impression is the sticky stuff is mostly a very recent epidemic (I mean Spider Tack type stuff, not rosin and sunscreen which have been around forever), while as you say the "hard throwers" thing has been going on for a longer period of time.
According to Fangraphs, in 2008 the league average fastball was about 91.5, in 2018 it was 93. I'm not suggesting that's the end of the inquiry, of course, but it does support the notion that, for example, Mets broadcasters discussed when Pillar was hit in the face.
Maybe, but walk rates are essentially unchanged from the 90's, while strikeouts have gone up a ton. Granted the eye test means little, but my perception is that pitchers have as good of command as ever. And over the years I've seen even inner-circle HOFers have one occasionally get away from them. My hypothesis is that batters' strategy is largely to blame. The 80's to early 90's had much lower HBP rates than the 2000's through now, even though walk rates were essentially the same. Around the mid to late 90's, many batters (copying Bonds) started wearing armor and setting up closer to the plate to take away the outside pitch. Pitchers bust inside to combat that strategy, and more batters get hit even if command is unchanged. Combining that with faster pitches and even less reaction time is a recipe for nasty outcomes.
Isn't Gladwell a "Joe Paterno did nothing wrong" truther? I thought I remember reading that was in one of his books. Can't stand the guy.
I’ve lived a couple hours south of Chicago for nearly a half century, and I’ve been a fan of the Cubs for most of that time, and I can’t recall* a time when the neighborhood around the ballpark wasn’t referred to as “Wrigleyville.”
* Acknowledgement that recall itself is unreliable for someone who has lived anywhere for ~50 years.
I share many of your opinions about Gladwell. As a recovering mark for all things “The Ringer,” I shudder when I think about some of the podcast conversations I listened to between Gladwell and Simmons.
hmmmmm.... You're told that a "crackdown" on a certain behavior is coming.... And your response is to INCREASE that behavior.... Sounds ALOT like the 5th graders I've been hanging around with this year.....
Craig, settle an argument for me: didn’t Rowdy Tellez and Dane Dunning both appear in the same Western back in the late 60’s? If memory serves ( instead of just sitting there, snarking away)...
Rowdy Tellez was a pitcher in the '70s.
1870s, 1970s, doesn't really matter...
For the A's recap, please note that the Mark Canha "triple" was a long fly ball that Katel? Marte caught before hitting the wall, then he hit the wall with medium force, came away from the wall and pulled his glove toward his back (it was a weird move, but don't get to focused on that). at this pint the ball slipped out of his glove. Umpire on the field called it no catch. After review, it was no catch. Note that mark Canha had taken off his helmet around first and began to tip his cap.
I have listened to/watched most A's games this year, there have been a lot of replays that in my mind bizarrely go against the A's, so one going in their favor is a treat. This just looks like a catch to me.
https://www.mlb.com/gameday/d-backs-vs-athletics/2021/06/09/633784#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=videos,game=633784
I apologize for the baseball game themed comment
Wow. I'm shocked that didn't get overturned on replay.
It's not a catch. Ball came loose as a result of his body's movement to recover balance after hitting the wall, what you refer to as a "weird move." Rule says "It is not a catch, however, if simultaneously or immediately following his contact with the ball, he collides with a player, or with a wall, or if he falls down, and as a result of such collision or falling, drops the ball." Also, release of the ball has to be "voluntary and intentional."
huh.
I bet there is a tiny subsection of rules nerds that would think of it as a non catch. I certainly, as an A's partisan, would not have objected to it being an out.
Yes, well, that tiny subsection would include approximately 100% of umpires.
There's no reason to "take sides" in any of this "sticky stuff" bullshit but I can't help but think, "Yeah, fuck that guy" when it comes to Gerrit Cole. Yankees fans were ready to fire everyone and trade what they could a few days ago but now they're playing the victim card because someone dared to call out their $300MM pitcher, who is obviously one of the biggest offenders when it comes to this shit. It's just annoying.
As I said, I'm not taking sides here. But I'm also not down for the "everyone is doing it so it's no big deal" stuff either. You see this with steroids. Baseball writers hate the league office and blame them for looking the other way so it's fine that a generation of players injected themselves with bovine growth hormones because Bud Selig is a dick.
Manfred sucks ass just like Selig did but it doesn't change the fact that these guys are cheating and the more I see people seemingly siding with the players the more annoyed I get. You can't go around screaming about baseball being broken only to turn a blind eye when someone points out that a big part of the problem is that about 80% of today's pitchers are doctoring the ball to the point where exploding 96 mph slides are the norm.
Michael Kay wasn't the only one who wanted to see Donaldson drilled yesterday and that's just weird. How is Gerrit Cole the victim here?
Baseball has such lame scandals. The 2005 MN Vikings had the "Love Boat" scandal. Basketball has had point-shaving.
We have stealing signs, rubbing some sticky stuff on the ball, and gambling. Exciting stuff!
The NFL’s not immune to it, lest we forget guys from Quincy becoming experts in ideal gas law and atmospheric pressure during the last big scandal.
Ha, good point!
One more thought on the "Indy Didn't Matter" thing: Indy *hasn't seen the end of the movie; he doesn't know that the Nazis are going to get melted*. He has to act as if the Nazis really do have a potential superweapon in their hands.
We, in our privileged view, know that the Nazis are EVIL and that Yahweh will smite them. Indy doesn't believe in the religious aspects of The Ark; all he knows is that it's an extremely valuable historical artifact - with a couple of potentially dangerous powers for anyone who can figure out how to use them. Anyone - even a Nazi.....
I'm not sure if I'm a Millennial (b. 1981), but I sure as shit see how much Boomers rail against them, against their own children. It's kind of appalling. Policies being set by Boomers are actively hurting younger generations so of course we're going all "Dad, WTF are you doing!? I can't buy a house now!" To which "dad's" response is more or less of "tough shit, kid".
I am thinking about how i can subdivide my apartment, so my two teenagers will have a place to live independently when it's time. There is no way they can afford an apartment here
I meant to get here early. I have an ethical question and I feel the commenters here are a good judge of ethics. My sister's kid wants me to write a paper for a college history class. I told her it would be terrible because I didn't take the class and have no reference and I am not particularly well suited to the subject. But she is bugging me and I so I wrote it. As like an outline that she will have to update using examples from the class. But I feel bad giving it to her. But not that bad. It's a 2 page paper. Can I do it?
My mother in law wrote all of my SIL’s college papers and now, four years after graduation, she’s still as dependent on her. Wouldn’t say it’s a huge ethical dilemma, as college is a hotbed of this kind of thing, but I’m generally of the mind that you should let people succeed or fail on their own merits, especially in the fairly consequence-free zone of college.
If you care about the kid, my suggestion is to help her develop the skills to succeed. A 2 page paper is a perfect place for her to work on her skills! Perhaps you could take the outline you wrote (if you haven't given it to her yet), maybe strip it down a little to make it even more of just an outline, and then tell her to work on it and get it back to you for suggestions and comments.